تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its downside consolidation earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.4350 support area. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we need a clear break below 1.4350 to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.4250 and the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4425/50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the major bullish scenario remains strong retesting 1.4518 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its downside consolidation earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.4350 support area. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we need a clear break below 1.4350 to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.4250 and the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4425/50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the major bullish scenario remains strong retesting 1.4518 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was unable to continue its bullish momentum on Friday. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in a bearish channel after the false breakout above 1.6400. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6220. Immediate resistance at 1.6330. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term retesting 1.6400 key resistance area. Below 1.6220, next support to be tested is seen around 1.6090.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was unable to continue its bullish momentum on Friday. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in a bearish channel after the false breakout above 1.6400. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6220. Immediate resistance at 1.6330. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term retesting 1.6400 key resistance area. Below 1.6220, next support to be tested is seen around 1.6090.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall price is still in a major bearish outlook but seems found a good support around 0.8900 while at the same time CCI bullish divergence suggests potential bearish exhaustion and bullish consolidation testing 0.9000. /55. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8900 to continue the bearish scenario testing 0.8850/00.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall price is still in a major bearish outlook but seems found a good support around 0.8900 while at the same time CCI bullish divergence suggests potential bearish exhaustion and bullish consolidation testing 0.9000. /55. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8900 to continue the bearish scenario testing 0.8850/00.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bearish correction on Friday and hit 82.85 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still testing 82.55/00 support area. On h1 chart below we have two descending triangle formation which are drawn from different perspective, but both suggests a bearish intraday view. Immediate resistance at 83.25 followed by 83.75.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bearish correction on Friday and hit 82.85 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still testing 82.55/00 support area. On h1 chart below we have two descending triangle formation which are drawn from different perspective, but both suggests a bearish intraday view. Immediate resistance at 83.25 followed by 83.75.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum on Friday and slipped below 119.30 earlier today in Asian session. As you can see on my daily chart below we have a V-Top formation suggests potential bearish view especially if price able to move consistently below 119.30 testing 118.00 – 116.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.00. A Clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 121.50 my intraday outlook remains more to the downside.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum on Friday and slipped below 119.30 earlier today in Asian session. As you can see on my daily chart below we have a V-Top formation suggests potential bearish view especially if price able to move consistently below 119.30 testing 118.00 – 116.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.00. A Clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 121.50 my intraday outlook remains more to the downside.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish pressure earlier today in Asian session slipped below 135.00 support area. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially is price able to make a clear break below 135.00 at least testing 133.50 – 132.50 support area. Immediate resistance at 135.70/80. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 137.00/50 my intraday technical bias is more to the downside. CCI in negative territory on h4 chart suggests downside pressure.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish pressure earlier today in Asian session slipped below 135.00 support area. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially is price able to make a clear break below 135.00 at least testing 133.50 – 132.50 support area. Immediate resistance at 135.70/80. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 137.00/50 my intraday technical bias is more to the downside. CCI in negative territory on h4 chart suggests downside pressure.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD still able to maintain its bullish bias on Friday while EUR/USD and GBP/USD were corrected lower. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0581. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum aiming for new all time high projection around 1.0700. Immediate support at 1.0520/00. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish as the rising wedge bearish correction scenario might be validated, testing 1.0400 – 1.0330 support area.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD still able to maintain its bullish bias on Friday while EUR/USD and GBP/USD were corrected lower. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0581. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum aiming for new all time high projection around 1.0700. Immediate support at 1.0520/00. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish as the rising wedge bearish correction scenario might be validated, testing 1.0400 – 1.0330 support area.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD's consolidation from 1.4519 is still in progress and deeper retreat might be seen. But downside should be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise. Above 1.4159 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD's consolidation from 1.4519 is still in progress and deeper retreat might be seen. But downside should be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise. Above 1.4159 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD's consolidation from 1.6426 is still in progress and another fall could be seen. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD's consolidation from 1.6426 is still in progress and another fall could be seen. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

While USD/CHF lost some intraday downside momentum with 4 hours MACD staying above signal line, recovery is so far weak. Hence, intraday bias remains mildly on the downside and below 0.8895 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.8990 will suggest short term bottoming and bring recovery through 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9028).

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

While USD/CHF lost some intraday downside momentum with 4 hours MACD staying above signal line, recovery is so far weak. Hence, intraday bias remains mildly on the downside and below 0.8895 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.8990 will suggest short term bottoming and bring recovery through 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9028).

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.